The stalemate between the 2 biggest promoters in boxing couldn’t be broken for what was forecasted as the biggest fight in the history of boxing. You know what fight I’m talking about. The Manny Pacquiao vs Floyd Mayweather one. There was plenty of money for all sides to make, and yet no one budged. Now that Oscar De La Hoya and Richard Schaefer have split apart, the wall between Top Rank and Golden Boy is about to fall.
The first fight that everyone is desperate to make is perhaps the biggest possible fight that could be made in boxing that doesn’t include Floyd Mayweather. That fight pits Mexican star Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez against Filipino Superstar™ Manny Pacquiao.
Nevermind that Alvarez fights a division north of Pacquiao. Also, pay no attention that Pacquiao’s team has said he’ll never move up in weight again. Also, forget that Alvarez struggled to make 154 pounds in his last fight.
The fight may sound appetizing for those looking to make a buck, but the truth of it is that unless Pacquiao is willing to budge on how heavy he’s willing to go, this fight will never get made. When Pacquiao fought Antonio Margarito for the junior middleweight title back in 2010, he officially weighed-in at 144 and a half pounds.
Coincidentally, 2010 was the last time Canelo officially weighed under 150 pounds. If Pacquiao would accept the same 152 catchweight that Canelo took when he fought Floyd Mayweather, he could expect Alvarez to weigh around 165 pounds on fight night. That would amount to a nearly 20 pound weight advantage. He would be the heaviest opponent Pacquiao’s ever faced and pose a slew of problems Pacquiao has not had to prepare for in a long time.
Supposing they could fight at a weight where both were comfortable, I’d favor Pacquiao. Alvarez struggled with Mayweather’s masterful footwork and Pacquiao’s quick feet and in-and-out darting would prove troublesome for Alvarez. Alvarez is fast, but Pacquiao is one of the quickest and sneakiest fighters in the sport. Pacquiao has shown he can be elusive when he’s facing a bigger opponent.
Canelo’s size and power would just about the only advantage he’d take into the fight. While logic tells us his most effective possible strategy would to trap Pacquiao on the ropes and use his power to hurt him, that hasn’t always been Canelo’s plans. Canelo would most likely attempt to outbox and outslug Pacquiao from the outside, which probably won’t be too effective. The saving grace would be Pacquiao’s recent chin resistance. The huge weight difference, combined with natural power, would make every blow from Canelo possibly the the last one.
Ultimately, the fight is promising, but the size difference might be an insurmountable barrier in negotiation. Personally, I’d like to see Pacquiao accept the fight at the proper junior middleweight limit in an effort to one-up Mayweather. He could go down in flames, but should he win, it would be another tremendous win on a long and storied resume.
If it’s not Canelo, there are rumors of Danny Garcia. Perhaps, should he be signed to a real Golden Boy contract, it’s time to strike while the iron is hot and set-up a meeting between Pacquiao and Marcos Maidana. Maidana, in many peoples eyes, has a legit claim to a victory of Floyd Mayweather. Maybe Pacquiao can bolster his stance as being the better fighter of this generation by decisively beating Maidana after Mayweather struggled.
We’ll have to wait and see though. No one seems to know who’s really with Golden Boy and who isn’t.
™ – Jim Lampley Inc.